Ep 208. - The Price of Progress: Economic Realities in Africa with Prof. Abdoulaye Ndiaye

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Africa is a resource-rich continent with immense potential. When countries within the continent demonstrate good governance and sound economic judgment, they thrive. It is, of course, overly simplistic to discuss Africa as a monolith. Yet some regions, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, continue to grapple with debt, poverty, and civil conflict. This is why the continent remains the most underdeveloped, leading to a brain drain of its most talented individuals to more prosperous nations. To what extent has the legacy of colonialism, in both its historical and contemporary forms, contributed to these challenges? How do we evaluate its potential, and what about the Muslim population, which numbers around 437 million – almost half of the continent?

To help us untangle and demystify Africa, we are honoured to have on The Thinking Muslim Professor Abdoulaye Ndiaye, an Assistant Professor of Economics at NYU Stern. He has written extensively about his home country, Senegal, and has recently published intriguing article examining Islamic concept of zakat and economic inequalities in the Muslim world within an Islamic understanding.

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Transcript - This is an automated transcript and may not reflect the actual conversation

Introduction

0:00

Africa has a rich history of Islam Africa  is not a monolith for some people's image  

0:05

of Africa is the malnourished child The  Brain Drain is real and it's substantive  

0:11

after colonization there was a divide and  conquer mindset that happened that led to  

0:16

division on a map we need to go beyond the  uh Colonial barriers it's rough in Nigeria  

0:23

you need to provide uh water for your home  electricity often go goes off that's why we  

0:30

need to move from Aid to talking about trade and  investment Islam recommends some sort of wealth

0:35

tax Africa is a resourcer continent with  immense potential when countries within the  

0:44

continent demonstrate good governance and  sound economic judgment they Thrive it is  

0:50

of course overs simplistic to discuss Africa  as a monolith yet some regions particularly  

0:55

subsaharan Africa continue to Grapple with debt  poverty and conflict this is why the continent  

1:02

Remains the most underdeveloped leading to a  brain drain of its most talented individuals   to more prosperous Nations to what extent  has the legacy of colonialism in both its  

1:13

historical and contemporary forms contributed  to these challenges and how do we evaluate its  

1:19

potential and what about the Muslim population  which numbers around 4 and 30 million almost  

1:26

half of the continent now to help us UNT angle  and demystify Africa we are honored to have on  

1:33

the thinking Muslim Professor Abdullah NJ an  assistant professor of Economics at New York  

1:39

University Stern he has written extensively about  his home country Sagal and has recently published  

1:45

intriguing articles examining the Islamic concept  of zaka and economic inequalities in the context  

1:52

of the Muslim World Professor Abdullah Alayah  and welcome to the thinking muslimah thank you  

1:59

for having me in beautiful London it's wonderful  to have you with us this is your first time in  

2:05

London by the way this was my second time I came  uh way back when in my student years when I was in  

2:13

Paris as a student we came for the theater and I  came to Cambridge for something like model un way  

2:20

back in the day uh at the time all I did was visit  um the Buckingham Palace today I had a wonderful  

2:27

guide who showed me the economic history of London  yes and all to see so it's really pleasure to be  

2:33

here so just for our viewers your guide was RI  think you so he showed you around the economic  

2:41

highlights of London yes I think he can put that  into a product the economic tour of London by riia  

2:48

what what did you see but coincident yeah so I I  took we took a I took a picture with jery Benton  

2:55

you know the father UCL UCL so he is the father  of utilitarianism which economists uh deal with  

3:01

grapple with a lot especially like people who work  on issues around uh when you think of what is the  

3:07

best thing to do um what call normative questions  so when you work on issues around inequality  

3:13

around Public Finance jery bentam says we want  to do what is best for the greater good yes and  

3:21

he Illustrated this fact by saying that at his  death in his will he put that they should expose  

3:27

his body so when you go to UCL there you have  the bones of Jeremy bentam yes put in um uh um  

3:36

in display they put like a a body around it with  clothing and all that so I had the chance to uh  

3:44

benefit from this uh utilitarian uh Act of his yes  uh we saw also places where KL Marx in the library  

3:54

worked to write his desk Capital yeah uh we saw  U John mayard K's uh um all old living quarters  

4:02

yeah and many other sites really uh that um gave  me an an overview of the uh history and economic  

4:11

history uh of this city that's really interesting  I mean um we're here today to talk about Africa  

4:17

but in in that context um many African students  especially from the elites they come to London  

4:23

and to America of course to to study uh economics  from a very Western lens so some of us great names  

4:30

or those names that you mentioned benam and KES  and marks would would would of course be part of  

4:35

that curriculum um this may sound like a very  very um uh I don't know rudimentary question  

4:42

but like to what extent are uh do we need to move  away from these Western figures of economics and  

Move away from western economics?

4:49

think about different models and behaviors  moving forward yeah um economics is a very  

4:56

broad field and um we it has been studied by  many Western figures yeah now there has been  

5:03

a lot of a movement to understand uh developing  economies uh as a laboratory where there are a  

5:08

lot of questions to answer and because growth is  very important one of the reasons why I'm in this   town as well is because of a conference that I co  organized on structural transformation economic  

5:18

growth at Oxford yeah and uh there are uh there  has been some a revolution since the 2000s of  

5:27

a credible Revolution to think of how we use me  from medicine to go and study uh uh economics in  

5:36

the developing world uh this is done by westerners  Africans alike uh now it has growing it is growing  

5:45

um and there have been Nobel prizes that have been  awarded for development economics and development  

5:51

economics the idea really is not just to transpose  theories thinking from here but really look at the  

5:59

uh challenges the frictions and the issues  in Africa in the developing world and study  

6:06

those and really propose solutions that are  adapted to those countries and they are and  

6:12

this research is done equally in collaboration  both by Africans and non-africans Africans with  

6:19

their training in economics but also  their institutional knowledge as well

Baitulmal

6:29

oh

7:23

fantastic I mean we I said in my introduction  that uh we hope to sh shed a light or draw some  

Assessing Africa’s development

7:32

attention to Africa today and and of course it is  quite depressing and maybe I I will fall into this  

7:37

trap here today but it's quite depressing that  we lump all African countries the diversity of  

7:42

African countries into one into one monolith  um but um um to contradict myself like paint  

7:49

me a picture of the economics of the continent  like how do you assess where Africa is in terms  

7:56

of development today yeah like you said Africa is  not monolith so there will be a lot of places we  

8:02

can go when we think of Africa the economies are  diverse you have some economies that like Nigeria  

8:09

and Angola that rely mostly on petroleum exports  while some other economies like Kenya or Ethiopia  

8:17

will focus more on agriculture okay and you have  some other economies that rely more on tourism  

8:23

uh some other economies will try to do a mix of  all of these uh in terms of where we are I think  

8:30

most of the growth that has happened there have  been sustained growth um after the independence  

8:36

have been driven mostly by Commodities and these  have been low value ad growth mostly minerals okay  

8:43

that are exported and some of the challenges has  been that the infrastructure in place has been  

8:49

mostly infrastructure that is there to essentially  carry these extracted minerals overseas mostly to  

8:57

Europe and there are other challenges is related  to skills education and human capital overall  

9:03

which is the uh potential for people to uh uh  produce Goods uh and services and these have  

9:11

these are related to these institutional factors  that I started alluding to and so there are still  

9:16

challenges that are associated with that broke  broken borders as well that create instabilities  

9:23

in certain areas now um the challenges in West  Africa are different you have the relationship  

9:30

to manage with France and from Colonial Powers uh  in East Africa you have uh some of the challenges  

9:36

related to Sudan yeah uh conflict in central  Africa you have K the Congo in South Africa  

9:43

you have um issues around unemployment it's in  South Africa and North Africa as well is dealing  

9:50

with its own challenges so overall uh this is  the continent where growth is going to happen  

9:57

in the future uh it's a very young uh continent as  well so there are a lot of uh questions to resolve  

10:04

but also a lot of good developments uh that have  happened in 2024 and over this uh the previous uh  

10:12

this Century as well when we talk about you gave  us a really clear picture of uh the different  

Economically healthy countries in Africa

10:17

challenges and the different regions and countries  within Africa I mean if if it was one country you  

10:23

could site where where economically things are  going well where would f p so I would I I think  

10:33

so uh Benin is a good example of a country that  has potential yeah and uh Sagal as well where I'm  

10:40

from so uh I want to give an example so Benin has  done a lot of reforms to to have in uh investment  

10:48

to take off and also has the proximity with uh  Nigeria Nigeria is the largest economy in in  

10:55

Africa and also they also benefit implicitly from  the fact that the Nigerian government subsidized  

11:03

uh uh energy oil and they are close to Nigeria  so they benefit from it yeah but if I want to  

11:10

give just the whole picture the example I'm going  to give uh of what CHS the good things and the  

11:16

challenges in Africa is actually from my where I'm  when where I grew up so it's a a neighborhood in  

11:24

darar darar the cap of Sagal kerasan so I grew up  in kermas we moved to K masan in this was because  

11:31

I want to talk about this the story of cities in  Africa because it's good to update people's image  

11:37

of Africa some for some people's image of Africa  is the malnourished child but do you want you to  

11:42

think of kermas as the Prototype of uh of some  Annex part connected part to a part connected to  

11:49

a city or a city in Africa so it we moved there  um it started um not many people living there uh  

11:59

good quality of air good quality of life we mov  there away from the more uh dense suburbs uh kerm  

12:08

Masa uh had uh one industry uh um company that  was producing ptry uh over time uh people moved  

12:18

to kermas more people moved to kurasa it became  larger City and one of the challenges that uh  

12:25

and the city started growing uh some uh low to  middle- income people were living there then  

12:33

there was flooding happening all around Sagal  and these are some of the issues both related  

12:38

to urban planning okay in cities without strong  urban planning but also related to climate change  

12:46

so people there were more people who moved to  K Masa but also it started being more dense and  

12:53

congested so you have cities that are dense and  congested and in these cities there are D and  

12:59

you have a lot of economic activity now in  kermas there is a big market so you have a   lot of informal activity happening right so this  is without formal accounting procedures yes uh  

13:10

and um this economic activity very Dynamic 50%  of GDP in Sagal is in this informal sector um  

13:19

now this economic activity also in terms of how  it organized has some drawbacks right so these  

13:25

are small scale businesses so you the medium and  small Enterprises they some of them fail it's hard  

13:32

for them to get financing uh and to scale up  to go from the table in the market to the uh  

13:40

to the store to a supermarket so you mostly have  small stores and uh as well what came with this uh  

13:48

congestion as well is that the that main industry  this Sida had to move to another place okay so  

13:55

pollution being also one challenge as well okay as  is uh examp in this example representing also that  

14:02

you have cities that can be very polluted um one  other point in this particular K why I mention it  

14:08

also when we think of Africa often the element  of uh security comes into play so that's where  

14:15

the dhar race you know the big trucks that used to  go from Paris all the way to darar passing through  

14:22

the Sahara used to arrive near Lake redba near  kurasa yes and um that's a beautiful Pink Lake  

14:29

it's really beautiful to see so when I was a kid  we used to go and watch the these giant trucks  

14:36

and motorcycles and SUVs Crossing all the desert  and come arriving there that beautiful race uh  

14:45

has moved uh to South America at some point in the  UAE and then it stopped I think and mainly because  

14:54

of terrorism and instability in Libya in all  the uh Sahara as well so it's also microcosm an  

15:01

example of the issues that happened around Sagal  and in Africa as well of sometimes uh conflict  

15:09

and instability and uh it's a city now that has  become ker masad one of the largest cities with  

15:16

a lot of youth unemployment as well okay so a lot  of potential like say a lot of young people a lot  

15:23

of energy and dynamism okay but uh a city that has  a lot of challenges and that's an example for me  

15:29

of the updated view of Africa for people um that's  a thank you very much that's a very um evocative  

Young demographic

15:37

picture you you paint of of your your home city  um uh you talked there about one of the benefits  

15:45

of uh kiram Masai is a young demographic now uh we  often associate uh Africa to be overpopulated you  

15:55

know and that's a very crude way of putting it  and and many Western economist argue that um as  

16:01

you urbanize and as you modernize your population  will slow down and your younger population slow  

16:07

down so in our minds at least in the west we  associate countries in Africa that have large  

16:13

burgeoning populations to be somewhat of a curse  in inverted commers uh is that how you see it  

16:19

when it comes to when it comes to afria yeah uh  not at all I think um it's actually uh there are  

16:25

challenges associated with finding jobs for for  the youth yeah but it's more short term right I  

16:32

think the challenge really is how to harness this  potential yeah uh currently uh 75% of Africans are  

16:42

less than 35 year old right and Africa is supposed  to be the labor force of the future yeah and now  

16:49

the question is how can it attract centel from  around the world where it could allow to earn  

16:57

higher wages now um that I think is the way to  to to answer the question I think the examples  

17:05

of countries like India are pretty useful for many  African countries which is uh how to develop yeah  

17:14

uh an IT industry that is strong enough Broadband  accessible all around so that we can develop  

17:22

services that can be uh useful for the world now  these services like in the example of call center  

17:29

and other IT services as well for and increase  also the uh educated population that can do uh  

17:36

these jobs as well the reason why I mentioned is  um we have we need Industries as well those are  

17:41

important but when you look at um service on  the service part um this is a place uh where  

17:50

we can do a lot and uh we already have mobile  phones so Africa Li frogged from going from the  

18:01

phone lines not to the computer directly to  the mobile phones people use mobile money um  

18:08

more than 35% of mobile money users say they use  it also for saving right so the question is how  

18:15

do you have internet accessibility all around so  that people can do productive activities from uh  

18:22

their phones as well so I think really this  notion of productivity pushing it uh can uh  

18:28

be beneficial for the Youth and can be beneficial  for population at all so I don't think that there  

18:36

is any policy whatsoever that needs to be done  in terms of controlling population uh we China is  

18:42

has a very large population and China has found  ways to grow in it certainly with manufacturing  

18:48

helping a lot Africa needs manufacturing there  are challenges we we can talk about it uh but uh  

18:55

that's uh I think it's a uh it's a it's more of a  uh an opportunity than a challenge and how real is  

19:03

the brain drain in countries like senal or Nigeria  where talented individuals you know people who  

19:11

have uh who've acquired those the the those skill  sets that are very much in demand in in say um  

19:18

Silicon Valley yeah how much is does that account  for the loss to the continent yeah so the brain  

19:26

drain is real and it's extented the way I want to  think of the brain drain is you do not need to to  

19:34

support a country or your country uh or to help or  work for your country uh you can be contribute to  

19:42

your country's uh production you can contribute to  your country yeah not only through your own labor  

19:48

but through adding more Capital to your country  and one way is investing yeah there are a lot of  

19:53

remittances coming from uh the West uh to uh to  more developed countries to Africa however these  

20:02

remittances they often come to supplant some basic  social services that government should provide yes  

20:10

so this is what is called usually the family tax  okay it is that these remittance often they are  

20:16

there because there is a lack for example for of  coverage of health insurance so they are there to  

20:23

cover Health uh issues Health bills that's often  and so I think really we should think of how also  

20:30

the diaspora African diaspora can benefit also  by in Investments now we know in investments in  

20:37

particular there are investments happening  uh mostly uh in many parts so for in Sagal  

20:43

part is in real estate um and this is related to  challenges of for businesses to operate um the  

20:51

bus for small and medium Enterprises they really  need this financing and this financing is limited  

20:59

because of issues that uh are specific sometimes  they are to the developing context or more more  

21:08

acute the developing context is uh like in this  informal activity that I mentioned when companies  

21:14

do not have clear financial statements at the  end of the year that you can read like that   you have in the west then you need to deal with uh  assessing whether the company you are investing in  

21:26

will be someone who's be trustworthy and whether  when they operate they will deliver if you are  

21:33

have a partnership that is based on Equity meaning  that you are sharing uh the profits and losses yes  

21:39

which is kind of the Islamic model of thinking of  how we do partnership in business so that's what  

21:45

limits uh these Investments as well uh Venture  Capital can go around this because they don't  

21:52

invest in the very small and medium Enterprises  they at the largest scale so they will go off with  

21:58

on dinner ERS and have conversations with Founders  and assess and use some credentials to judge but  

22:03

that's not something that is scalable because you  cannot go and have a dinner and a conversation  

22:09

with every farmer but also you don't have a  registry that told you how well they performs if  

22:14

they had loans in the past so these are challenges  that are really with economic challenges these are  

22:20

some things we really understand in economics the  problem what we call adverse selection which is to  

22:26

select the person you you don't know whether this  will be a person who has a good project that you  

22:31

can uh that they will work on yeah and the other  problem that even after investing in this person  

22:38

because you don't have formal records uh you are  not certain that this is how much they produce if  

22:44

you invest in a farmer if they take a part of the  production there is no way for you to verify so  

22:51

now these are what economists call often frictions  challenges that do not allow the seamless trade  

22:58

and Investments happening and these are places  where governments can operate to think of really  

23:06

how to reduce these barriers and that can drive  investment and also productivity of uh firms so  

23:17

the come back to come back to the question of  the brain drain yeah I think there can be some  

23:23

technology transfer coming from uh the diaspora  who learn other methods of doing there have been  

23:30

a lot of evidence that both the diaspora  is beneficial to the host countries so in  

23:37

America for example we find inventors uh uh the  uh immigrants um contribute a lot to Innovation  

23:45

similarly as well uh the diaspora contributes  with new ideas because ideas are important  

23:53

in a society yes with new ideas with different  ways of doing things and bringing also some of  

23:58

the standards as well uh in terms of production  uh in uh from the West yeah and they can benefit  

24:05

as well they can be useful by uh tying the  Investments Beyond real estate to look at  

24:12

the issues of uh the solve to solve the issue of  investing in medium and small uh Enterprises okay  

Africa needs capitalism?

24:20

so the context of U uh this conversation today is  you know the the live reality of of Africa and um  

24:29

um of course the context is that Africa  has embraced or been asked to embrace many  

24:35

of the the sort of the basic precepts of free  market capitalism in fact uh just today we were  

24:42

discussing off camera The Economist has a front  page that Africa needs capitalism um like from a  

24:49

from from your perspective as a as an economist  yes does Africa need more capitalism or needs  

24:55

does it need to because for some of what you've  just sugested there in terms of like refinement   of of bureaucracies and um refinement of of  um of uh economic activities I mean that that  

25:09

sounds very much within a within sort of that  capitalism framework so how do you like what's  

25:14

your view about more capitalism in Africa yeah  so I think the term capitalism is often uh loaded  

25:24

so I will rephrase things and make a statement  related to that I think Africa needs more growth  

25:32

today um more sustainable growth and a structural  transformation transformation of the way in which  

25:40

we produce things um because one thing that is  very important for a country to develop is how  

25:50

much you can produce from the same amount of Labor  the same number of people working the same hours  

25:57

yes or the same amount of machines Capital right  so that is productivity yes right we need to First  

26:04

increase productivity right and there are the the  ways in which you increase this productivity have  

26:10

nothing to do in with capitalism per se this is  about educating people better this is about all  

26:17

the barriers that can make production of the same  number of machines or the same number of hours  

26:24

yeah larger right soic frictions exactly right  so those frictions now yeah but I think thinking  

26:30

of capitalism essentially just thinking of uh  looking at the role of capital in the economy  

26:37

expanding that and also really emphasizing on that  part alone at the detriment of having a healthy  

26:44

Society uh and educated youth is not what I see  as beneficial to to AF to Africa so in a sense  

26:53

when we mention capitalism a lot of there are  a lot of common sense things things you want to  

26:58

do uh to reduce those frictions to me that are  not inherently bad things about capitalism but  

27:06

a society that emphasizes on mass production right  which is producing more but I'm really emphasizing  

27:11

more on producing more of the same things rather  than just producing more for its own sake if  

Capitalism - free market

27:17

we take one aspect one very important aspect of  capitalism is a free market economy and I suppose  

27:23

the principle there is that internally the economy  should be run as frictionless as possible but also  

27:29

there should be very few barriers to trade in  terms of um uh external trade and foreign direct  

27:36

Investments and and now you know I suppose when  when the West talk about capitalism they probably  

27:43

maybe referring to this aspect of opening up  countries and and making sure countries are not  

27:50

uh do not have protections to trade now um you  know the left would argue that that leads to uh  

27:58

a that leads to a decline of homegrown Industries  and it leads to I I remember reading many years  

28:05

ago a you know in Cameroon to purchase a to  purchase milk uh from a local farmer is far  

28:13

more expensive than to get milk powder that's ex  imported in from from Germany so just you know  

28:19

focusing on that free market aspect if you can um  you know are there any negatives to embracing that  

28:28

that part of capitalism yeah so to answer this  in the context of let's say subsaharan African  

28:35

countries I think I need to go into a little  bit of history please of how the economies  

28:41

came to be around because that is important I  think uh in many African countries in the postc  

28:49

colonial time um the industry the economy was  mostly extractive so the Nobel Prize winners of  

28:58

this year was they were awarded for thinking  of the institutions that were created by ex uh  

29:05

that were uh settle settle colonialism when they  settled uh places where uh Europeans could settle  

29:13

ended up to be uh more developed because they  built institutions that were more lasting while  

29:19

where they couldn't settle because mortality was  difficult yes they mostly extracted the resources  

29:26

and left and if you look at many places in Africa  the that's were those extractive institutions that  

29:34

remained yes now I prefer the better word instead  of extractive that sounds like this is just a  

29:40

adjective but extraction happened so this was an  active Act of extraction that happened and when so  

29:47

European countries extracted resources yeah they  didn't build the infastructure in place for trade  

29:54

to happen within right they mostly built port and  ways to asinate from the train to the port and  

30:02

to the boat to Europe yes right now why is this  relevant these institutions they are persistent  

30:08

so they stay over time even if like you see for  example in Italy in if you go to Florance the  

30:14

same families that in the uh 1400s that were the  richest are still now the richest right and so  

30:22

this time is not that far off we are 60 70 years  from that now this exists now this institutional  

30:30

reality is a reality in Africa so now when you  look at then trade within Africa is very low and  

30:38

this is one reason as well we don't have the  infrastructure NE necessary to do this value  

30:43

added Creation in our own goods and services we  produce Beyond minerals adding them refining them  

30:50

and trading between us within Africa so trade  with Europe with China is much stronger yes now  

30:58

facing this reality now let's answer your question  now so what should we do should we liberalize  

31:03

trade all together yes right and uh should we or  should we have some protections right I and I want  

31:11

to examine this in the light of the institutional  factors I mentioned and another point which will   come next which is on the geopolitical reality of  our time now so first in light of the institutions  

31:22

so what happens actually you see African countries  are mostly importers right so they export  

31:28

uh raw materials and they import final goods  from uh they import milk that is processed uh  

31:36

from overseas and um overall so they are not  competitive with other countries yeah and I  

31:44

think here there is an argument for doing what  is called industrial policy so industrial policy  

31:52

is looking at looking at the reality where we are  now now we can follow and produce those goods in  

32:00

which we are the best at relatively so that's why  we what we say we have comparative advantage this  

32:05

is recardo idea I remember from my undergraduate  days yeah so you focus on producing yes uh you  

32:13

know wheat another producing cloth yes however  um there can be sometimes even some impediment  

32:20

to be uh because of the bad infrastructure in  place uh low productivity in gulture and so on  

32:29

so there is room there to decide okay you know  I'm I want to uh invest in strengthening the  

32:39

agriculture industry and looking at for example  caca uh I in civo which has been their staple  

32:47

where they have been exporting it yeah and say  okay let me subsidize so that they can refine  

32:52

it to add value or let me subsidize exporting  it so these they are inter inventions of the  

32:58

government so they are not in a sense capitalist  uh policies right and but they can be useful uh  

33:06

I think um for for Africa so industrial policy  targeting Industries rather than just individual  

33:14

firms because if you target individual firms often  you create winners and losers within firms and it  

33:19

can create this cronyism uh within with these uh  sometimes weak institutions yeah all right and um  

33:28

now so on the point now you mentioned right is you  can have milk being imported in Cameroon uh while  

33:37

you know they just sell the raw milk directly  yes in Sagal is an example where you see also  

33:42

a lot of even on the Stalls in the streets you see  imported goods okay so I think there is room there  

33:51

to do industrial policy to uh limit uh these now  it's going to be true that uh really the reality  

34:01

is productivity is low in agriculture and so we  need to think of how to to mechan yes right the  

34:10

other point I wanted to mention as well is that  the one of fragmentation the fact the world we  

34:16

live in now which is if you look at trade a lot of  trade now is happening not just purely driven by  

34:23

this ricardio idea but also when people say like  oh I'm going to trade trade with my uh friends  

34:29

and I'm not going to trade with my enemies and  this is something to keep in mind as well as um  

34:35

uh we have a regime change in the US uh Donald  Trump is going to come and Donald Trump said   he's going to put a 100% tariff on uh bricks uh  countries okay so uh what is the response of these  

34:50

countries should be I think it there is room for  them to prioritize trading among themselves and  

34:57

and uh have trade agreements strengthen tra trade  agreements okay but um there are challenges with  

35:04

the trade agreements uh within and um for example  if we go take the case of West African countries  

35:12

uh you have eoas which is our economic and Trade  Agreement yes uh the difficulty is there have  

35:19

been some countries uh that are under military  rule now and they've decided to create the sahal  

35:26

states uh group and uh the sahal state group see  the eoas as more of a institution that is under  

35:33

the French control and they want to uh exit this  agreement and their notice has it's going to be a  

35:41

year soon uh that this will be in place uh then  there are challenges related to how they will  

35:49

navigate uh strengthening this eoas or having uh  splintered groups uh when it comes to to trade um  

35:59

so in Africa trade really is a key element that  needs to be strengthened and that uh in response  

36:07

to the other geopolitical realities out there  uh we need to think of uh carefully how to uh  

36:14

how to develop it uh between Africans uh there are  different groups you have uh Eastern group Eastern  

36:22

group have their Trade Agreement Southern Group  Northern African group and Central African um  

36:27

and West African uh groups having different trade  agreements yes and really um strengthening yeah  

36:36

yeah uh the AF under the African Union umbrella  but the African Union has not been as effective in  

36:43

in this uh there is the the African uh uh zav in  French African free trade uh area uh that is put  

36:53

in place as well but this hasn't been as effective  into getting uh uh trade to expand so can I pick  

African Union valuable?

37:01

up on on on that point about inra African trade  because um I've always wondered whether the  

37:08

European Union is is a fantastic project but just  in the wrong continent the wrong place because uh  

37:14

these nation states are very Consolidated and uh  the divisions between European States as we can  

37:20

see today are becoming FAL pronounced whereas  when we consider uh Africa I mean these are  

37:26

postcolonial constructs in many ways uh cultures  and peoples do not confine themselves to the  

37:33

nation state boundaries M as as as much as maybe  some European countries you know these divisions  

37:38

are not as as pronounced in Africa even though  sometimes leaders come along who try to carve out  

37:44

those divisions like how much would how valuable  would be like a European Union full integration  

37:50

we're talking about economic and political union  with free trade and with free movement of people  

37:56

with a single curency like how realistic but also  how valuable would such an organization be for for  

38:03

Africa as a continent I think it would be very  valuable yeah uh one of the strength of Nigeria  

38:10

is that it's a Federation of 200 million people  wow yeah and when uh businesses start in Nigeria  

38:16

they have access to a large market so if you  look at all the billionaires almost from Africa  

38:21

for Africa they have it's the same blueprint most  of them are from Nigeria and they work in Staples  

38:27

that feed uh millions of people and they have  large Market access right now how do you the  

38:37

on the issue of uh peoples in Africa and the  barriers like you know after colonization there  

38:44

was a divide and conquer uh mindset that happened  that uh led to division on a map uh of different  

38:54

countries uh in Africa these there's this these  divisions often do not map to ethnicities uh and  

39:02

language groups in the continent yeah one example  is the fani uh tribe which you can see all the way  

39:09

from Sagal all the way to ner uh and so on so the  whole sahal region yes and they are in different  

39:17

countries um they there are a few variations in  their language which is the same culture and they  

39:23

can be Nigerian they can be cameronian they can  be ghanan they can be sagales they can be guinean  

39:30

they can be mamalian they can be mortanian okay  um so this tells us that maybe also we need to go  

39:39

beyond the colonial barriers now there is a lot of  I think cheap talk around this and the difficulty  

39:48

has always been Whenever there are initiatives  around this either they are too uh simplistic and  

39:57

utopic yes or they have been nipped in the bud uh  due to geopolitical tensions and other countries  

40:08

meddling in uh the the the projects oh we talking  principally Western countries here yes so we're  

40:15

talking about Western countries so for example uh  Libya Mohamad hadfi was a large proponent of the  

40:23

European uh the African union he really wanted  and had a message of African Unity many people  

40:31

have been killed as well pushing for African Unity  sh an job was a scientist from Sagal known for his  

40:38

work on uh Egypt and linking thinking of uh  African origin of humanity which is now has  

40:46

been established as evidence even though some of  his work has been criticized for good reason but  

40:52

uh he did some work but at the time it wasn't  popular we have had uh thinkers like like um  

40:58

kuame Kuma giving a panafrican message people  like Tomas anara who was killed by his friend  

41:05

who who many suspect that was working with France  and um thas anara had the panafrican view but had  

41:13

a view that it was through the military that the  society would be somewhat educated and disciplined  

41:19

to go beyond the loss in human capital that  came from colonization right yes and so we had  

41:27

lumumba as well all of these people who have had  faced difficulty went to jail some of them killed  

41:32

yes and then you had uh Next Generation coming  the remaining which were mostly the ne Colonial  

41:39

Elite who didn't care much about their people  who were mostly put there uh because they were  

41:45

there ready to accept what the West uh imposed  uh on them now to have this Unity uh we need to  

41:58

be realistic that we need to start from our own  common zones right strengthen them use a language  

42:06

the language in our time the language the lingua  franka the language that all uses is not Latin  

42:12

is not Arabic anymore it's English um so we need  to organize ourselves around English uh we need  

42:19

to strengthen our common currencies and maybe go  beyond that to have uh a common common currency I  

42:26

think though the those are things that can be done  from the policy perspective because you know if  

42:34

you ask can African government um develop their  country certainly it's not up to them because I  

42:42

believe it's firms that develop a country and  it's firms that operate that provide jobs yes  

42:49

but can they use the energy to sit at a table  have conversations strengthen trade agreements  

42:57

uh and break barriers among themselves again  so these breaking barriers certainly you can   categorize them at capitalism and maybe these  are good parts of capitalism within themselves  

43:06

to strengthen inter Africa trade add value to  their goods okay and the caca from Ivory Coast  

43:16

uh being transformed into coffee to be sent and  sold in Sagal uh instead of Sagal buying uh the  

43:25

nest Cafe from overseas or produce overseas uh  from the same those caka beans so uh then after  

43:34

developing these regions and strengthening the  Africa free trade agreement we currently have  

43:41

and free trade zone that is on paper we can then  uh look at the question of common currency I I do  

43:51

not see any reason why this cannot be a reality  uh the world moves very quickly and as we have  

43:59

seen uh with covid uh things can happen uh with  being unexpected with AI things going to move  

44:08

very quickly so I think we need more discussion  of trade and investment uh among African countries  

44:18

and uh that's a priority in my view and and do  you feel there's an appetite for that within  

Inertia from African rulers

44:23

the continent I mean I'm I I I sometimes get the  impression that uh even fine the West May uh find  

44:32

it very difficult want or not want to transform  these extractive economies because it doesn't  

44:38

serve their interest France wouldn't want that and  America would wouldn't want that but at the same   time you you do see some inertia from um African  rulers African leaders who are uh who who do not  

44:51

like the idea of giving up control over their  nation state to you know what would essentially  

44:57

be supranational bodies the tricky part in this  uh conversation is the some countries are facing  

45:08

challenges on many Dimension we know in Sudan  there is a war in Congo there are uh there's  

45:16

conflict related to minerals and so they might not  even have the bandwidth to to have the Diplomatic  

45:23

uh Personnel to to to undertake this there is also  the division even in West Africa between echas  

45:31

countries and the alliance of Sahel uh countries  which are military uh rule which are under  

45:38

military rule yeah so it's a tricky situation now  the way I think this can be addressed start with  

45:49

uh the relationship that these countries have  with uh foreign powers with France with the US  

45:57

with England with Russia as well because some of  these military uh LED countries they took out the  

46:04

French flag and replace it with a Russian flag  yeah so what do I mean by that the discussions  

46:11

around Aid should turn to discussions around  uh investment and trade I think a lot of the  

46:19

limitations that you have between these countries  uniting is that some of the countries will think  

46:26

so some this has been for example in the West  African sense when you talk about having a common   currency between the countries that are using  currently the francea which is this uh Frank that  

46:39

was the colonial Frank that whose name was turned  into a sort of um Rosetta Stone that we saw today  

46:47

like a dictionary inversion it turns from the uh  Frank of the French colonies of Africa yes to the  

46:54

Frank of the financial Comm community of Africa  so just a little word twist yes so these countries  

47:02

have been trying to connect with Nigeria and have  potentially a common currency called Echo okay now  

47:10

the difficulty has been Nigeria thinking that oh  this we don't want France to be the supervisor of  

47:19

our currency because essentially these countries  have a fixed Peg with the Euro uh because this  

47:26

is this was guaranteed by the um Central Bank  in France yeah uh now the arrangements have  

47:33

changed on paper uh but this has been what has  historically been the case so this is an example  

47:38

for you like so Nigeria thinking oh France is  these are essentially under the French rule and  

47:46

um those countries also thinking oh Nigeria is a  big block yes they rely a lot on oil we already  

47:53

seen the how the exchange rate has uh appreciate  it uh a lot and the these countries are like okay  

48:02

this is a risk for us to so how do we navigate  this yeah uh in the end um I think these countries  

48:10

instead of making a choice this can be sometimes  drastic or painful and see whether the political  

48:17

reality accepts it can be accepted yes to say okay  maybe we want to get rid of the colonial aspects  

48:26

of the currency we want to think of now from first  principle given where we are if we were to keep a  

48:32

common currency how would it look like would it  be a flexible exchange rate regime like Nigeria  

48:37

where it moves around depending on our commod  Commodities or do we keep it fixed with the Euro  

48:46

or with the dollar um or how do we can integrate  it together yeah and I think by switching their  

48:57

discussion their uh relationship with Europe and  the US away from Aid to away from also political  

49:08

influence and diplomatic influence at the UN we'  seen Aid being correlated a lot with votes at the  

49:14

UN yeah to one of just trade and investment then  they can be credible that they are free of these  

49:22

countries and this is a movement that is happening  somewhat uh in what is called the France afri this  

49:30

part of Africa that has been under French uh  influence and that from this next step The Next  

49:37

Step will be a discussion a strengthening really  of trade between these countries uh and beyond  

49:46

that they can see what the next steps will be can  I ask you about two to particular countries and I  

Congo and Nigeria resources

49:52

I know you know your expertise cannot range from  you know you wouldn't have expertise of each and   every single country intimately in Africa but  it's something which bothers me I mean Congo  

50:01

is an interesting example as you as you said in  your answer there Congo has um a you know you  

50:09

know internally it it has a problem uh but also Co  you know Congo is rich in natural resources Cobalt  

50:17

I think which is you know extremely important  diamonds diamonds turn so the first question  

50:23

really is about Congo like what is it that  prevents Congo which has uh such gifted Allah  

50:32

has gifted it with such tremendous resources why  is it that Congo is is if not the poorest one of  

50:38

the poorest uh countries in Africa and and and the  second point is about Nigeria which is you know I  

50:44

think you suggested or intimated it earlier on but  Nigeria should be and is the PowerHouse of Africa  

50:50

it's an extremely uh uh you know diverse country  but also a country country which has resources and  

50:59

potential in a young population uh yet uh that  that doesn't seem to be using the capitalist  

51:06

term a trickle down uh where uh the petroleum  uh Revenue actually uh you know and and its its  

51:16

impact doesn't seem to be trickling down to to  the population so just take me through you know  

51:21

the the Congo example which is very poor country  in Nigeria which is you know far more affluent   country but some of the inherent structural  problems in those two countries so the Congo  

51:31

example is one it's a country that is very rich  in minerals so has Cobalt um diamonds copper yeah  

51:40

um but it the country has been plagued by conflict  and this has been um the remnants of colonization  

51:50

and you had uh Decades of dictatorship uh one  example is Mutu who had been there for a long time  

51:56

and with the weak institutions that came out uh  from the colonial period as well right these uh  

52:04

Elites mostly captured the the resources from  the the the proceeds of these minerals and park  

52:14

them into uh tax hav Heavens around the world in  the western world that are also complicit uh of  

52:21

this and really didn't provide any public goods  uh for their people and so what that led is a  

52:27

resource curse right that you know because of  these minerals not under can be captured very  

52:34

easily they ex the only value is being extracted  you don't need they are not creating if because  

52:40

to extract minerals you don't need a even  a bachelor's degree so you need to create  

52:48

those other job you need to use those resources  the revenues to create schools to hospitals and  

52:55

educate the people so they can do the other jobs  and transform right the difference between Gulf   countries that they have been doing this uh  diversification to transform their economies  

53:05

and so people can be educated and so on so this  is the issue with uh I'm not saying that these  

53:10

golf countries are examples in way but I want to  just give that the their resources have been more  

53:16

smoothly managed in that regard and so that's  really the challenge with uh Congo and the uh  

53:24

there are various militia and armed factions which  exploit the uh the mineral resources to fund their  

53:29

operations and it's really kind of a wild west  where people are uh fighting for uh these uh these  

53:36

resources and the the multinational corporations  that on top of and uh this uh they mostly extract  

53:45

resources and do not provide uh the safety and  uh provide the public goods uh necessary for this  

53:53

that's kind of the uh overall big picture case in  the Congo Nigeria yeah is somewhat of a different  

54:00

situation because if you look at for example  Nigeria right now doesn't even have foreign   military presence Nigeria has been plagued by  military CPS and Wars at the time uh during uh of  

54:11

this uh South wanting to secced but since the 2000  Nigeria has been stable in that sense and has had  

54:18

um um uh politically Federation where you have a  lot of different uh stakeholders that kind of keep  

54:28

a political equilibrium that is somewhat stable  even though you have Sometimes some conflict uh  

54:35

happening arising but overall Nigeria has uh some  advantages but has been struggling lately the  

54:44

advantage Nigeria had is since they faced this  time after this time of instability they had a  

54:51

some sort of a agreement that all factions are  somewhat okay you know uh most of the oil is in  

55:00

the South but there is some transfer resources to  the north uh the sou is very productive Lagos but  

55:07

they got to that point where they can actually go  beyond just minerals and oil in that in Lagos you  

55:18

have a lot of companies most of the uh in fintech  for example most of the unicorns come from there  

55:24

and once you start seeing company in Africa  solving the problems of the people themselves  

55:30

then you are you see the window of growth opening  up because if it's just minerals minerals minerals  

55:37

then we are still in the extractive phase and  we are not going to go beyond it and this can be  

55:43

trapped on the resource curse so Nigeria by having  companies doing different things by having people  

55:48

working also in the services sector for the world  in general it has good trajectory now especially  

55:55

since the under the previous uh Administration uh  the bohari administration there have been a lot  

56:01

of bad choices that were made um around trying  to artificially keep exchange rate guided yeah  

56:10

uh despite the realities that were different so  you had a exchange rate of the currency the NAA  

56:17

in the black market that was very different  from the official one and so actually in fact  

56:24

the the governor of the central Bank uh has  had legal issues uh because of of corruption  

56:32

around this uh AR arbitraging the the own the  currency so that led to after they got rid of  

56:40

uh these guided uh exchange rate artificially uh  guided to be fixed and also lifting some of the  

56:48

subsidies that they were doing for uh fuel that  um the currency depreciated a lot so now it that  

56:59

mean that means that you will have less dollar US  dollars for the same amount of uh of nairas yeah  

57:06

and so that's a very tough period that's what they  are facing currently but I really can see also a  

57:14

recovery uh happening uh for Nigeria in that once  they manage these issues around the exchange rate  

57:22

they've had a lot of multinationals leaving as a  result uh and other companies leaving because it  

57:29

just their revenue from operating in Nigeria just  once they repatriated does is doesn't uh is not  

57:37

that large because of this 70% drop in the value  of their currency yeah which is pretty drastic  

57:42

but that was the reality that they should have  faced but moving forward the fact that um they  

57:50

face their own challenges it's rough in Nigeria  I go to Nigeria often and Nigeria doesn't have  

57:57

provided uh if you live there um you need to uh  provide uh water for your home electricity often  

58:08

go goes off and there it's an managed schedule  of uh disruptions um you also need to manage your  

58:16

own security but because there is what I call a  creative disruption so economists have this notion  

58:26

of creative destruction which is that in firm  uh in an economy sometimes you need new firms  

58:34

coming in and they will topple the old firms the  the typical examples is when we talk about the uh  

58:41

modern cameras digital cameras and Kodak not  embracing them and then you then they topple  

58:47

those and that's how Innovation happens so this is  the idea of creative uh destruction of shet like I  

58:53

think similarly for States there is a creative  creative disruption that needs to happen and I  

59:00

think this creative disruption might have happened  for Nigeria already for the France afri countries  

59:07

for the frankophone countries it hasn't happened  yet so if you go to darar darar GDP is 40% lower  

59:14

than Nigeria sagal's GDP but you feel like this  is a you feel like quality of life is much better  

59:22

right you have Resorts you electricity all around  internet water everything is running yeah but  

59:30

it's all because these are managed by mostly  foreign companies okay so we haven't built the  

59:39

National Security resources to make these as local  companies right okay and that is important because  

59:47

in Sagal okay in Sagal that is also relatively  the case in uh codir as well as well even though  

59:54

codir has built more infrastructure than Sagal  yeah and uh and and has advanced much more on  

1:00:01

this on this Dimension yeah okay so I think so  the issue why I'm mentioning this the example  

1:00:10

of Nigeria here is I think despite the challenges  they are facing they are facing their own uh qu  

1:00:17

problems yeah through this creative disruption  that already occurred for them yeah and now by  

1:00:22

having more and more companies uh there who are  solving the problems really that's what tells you  

1:00:29

oh okay there is an economy Beyond just minerals  here there is we can add value to things and then  

1:00:35

that will push other companies foreign companies  to come and also solve the people's problems yeah  

1:00:42

okay that Beyond just extraction right so uh yeah  I think those are uh some examples yeah U they are  

1:00:52

not the example that are most talked about Nigeria  many uh commentators would not give you Nigeria as  

1:00:59

uh the main but I think really being such a large  country such a large with such a large Market uh  

1:01:07

uh it can drive a lot of Africa and his has lot  of the large uh youth uh in Africa as well and it  

1:01:16

has a lot of Innovations in financial Technologies  and so on with its challenges yeah you you paint  

Orthodox policies?

1:01:22

a really interesting picture between the quality  of life in senal which is a relatively speaking a  

1:01:28

poorer country to that of of Nigeria which which  you know has low ched in electricity problems you  

1:01:34

know um security issues and there all sorts of of  frictions uh to to ordinary business and ordinary  

1:01:42

life now I wonder how much that's down to the  adoption of uh what would be term Orthodox let's  

1:01:50

not call it capitalist but Orthodox economic  policies I mean I remember a while back reading  

1:01:57

I think it was danis moyo who's a developmental  Economist I think in from Nigeria who argued that  

1:02:04

um in a sense these Orthodox policies are are not  fit in an African context and maybe sen go even if  

1:02:14

if it hasn't you know it its econom is not growing  so I suppose you know this is an anti-growth ism  

1:02:21

argument it's economy isn't growing for quality  of life of of your of senales is is far better  

1:02:28

and maybe that's what we want you know we want to  live uh uh you know s to sound philosophical we  

1:02:34

want to live happy lives I want to qualify when I  say quality of life and the car I think but there  

1:02:41

are many role Parts in Sagal quality life is not  as good I think I compare it more broadly also   because Nigeria has one limitation that it has  is the the state provides much less Services you  

1:02:54

know welfare state and I think the welfare state  is important yes Health uh protection uh education  

1:03:01

right it's really to each their own right very low  one of the lowest in the world okay yes in Nigeria  

1:03:08

in Nigeria yes and uh but you have also a lot of  inequalities as well okay even yeah so the the  

1:03:18

but what I mentioned in darar in particular D is a  very small tiny part of Sagal yet it's the capital  

1:03:24

right everything concentrated it I wanted to give  it as a stark difference because it's where it's  

1:03:30

a kind of like a town where you have a lot of  foreigners there's that this quality of life  

1:03:36

is maintained mostly because you have uh foreign  the businesses the large corporations are mostly  

1:03:43

foreign owned yes okay and you have as well um  this Band-Aid of um protection of these business  

1:03:54

interests by Foreign uh governments yeah right  you don't have any of that in in in in Nigeria  

1:04:02

yeah and so what I the creative disruption  is in the sense that you need protection when  

1:04:12

there is when this is more extraction so and  and this is where I want to come to the the  

1:04:19

recent um uh macron statements so maon Emanuel  ma the French president who said that Africans  

1:04:29

should be thankful and I think uh he should call  more for um a message of mutual respect than a  

1:04:37

paternalistic uh call for being thankful yeah  to to France to France yes Africans should be  

1:04:43

thankful to France otherwise there wouldn't be any  state if it were not for French troops yeah so I  

1:04:49

think there is room for defending an industry  when this industry is extract right you keep  

1:04:57

the militia you keep some sort of protection for  extracting Industries right but when there is not  

1:05:06

this extractive uh extraction happening then you  are just solving problems yes so this is exchange  

1:05:13

that is coming out of mutual uh respect and mutual  gains yes in that moment you don't need any more  

1:05:20

military bases okay and that is why I'm josing and  comparing the FR theal case here with the Nigerian  

1:05:29

case in the sense that so the Band-Aid that is in  this case is that one where everything works you  

1:05:38

have electricity you have water but productivity  is very low and GDP per capita is much lower than  

1:05:45

in the Nigerian case where it's chaos so to pick  up on that Orthodoxy point I mean so maybe Sagal  

1:05:51

isn't the example but I don't know morania or  there may be another example of a of a happy of a  

1:05:58

happy place which hasn't urbanized and it hasn't  industrialized and it hasn't it isn't obsessed  

1:06:04

about productivity and growth uh yet um you know  it's it's not mared with mired with uh security  

1:06:13

problems and electricity problems and and crime  and the rest of it like you know is that a is uh  

1:06:20

you know is that even a a a conversation uh to be  had in in Africa because you started mentioning  

1:06:27

this uh mentioning dambisa may may Mayo's uh book  yes uh dead eight yes right that's it and her  

1:06:37

argument has a flavor of what I'm talking about  here because her point is that eight sometimes   disrupts the local Industries themselves you  create you have dep eight dependencies and this is  

1:06:48

a reality yes yes um the eight becomes an industry  like there is a joke like you when eight comes you  

1:06:58

have the SUV that comes with the Westerner in the  village and then at the end the Western leaves the  

1:07:06

SUV stays for the program manager of that Aid uh  project domestically in the and the village stays  

1:07:13

as well you know so that's the the joke yeah so I  think Aid can be disruptive that's why we need to  

1:07:20

move from a to talking about trade and investment  right now uh on the issue of should we uh not  

1:07:29

grow and for me I'm very clear on that I'm not a  degrowth person I think growth is very important  

1:07:36

and African countries need to grow because first  of all their population grow yeah so you need to   grow to at least feed uh your uh population your  growing population so that in that sense these  

1:07:47

measures that we often talk about like GDP gross  domestic product which measures the production  

1:07:54

uh within a country country in a given year of  goods and services at least need to grow at the  

1:08:01

rate in which the population is growing right  so that you can feed more mou mouths and then  

1:08:08

it needs to grow Beyond to to also that people's  uh incomes can rise right so living standards can  

1:08:17

rise uh people can be healthier so that also you  can repay the debt that many uh of the country  

1:08:25

are mired uh into so I wouldn't say that there are  deep growth stories or there should be deep growth  

1:08:32

stories in Africa right I think uh we cannot get  around the fact that we need to grow the pie you  

1:08:39

know now I think there is a lot of sensibilities  for many people and also as Muslims understanding  

1:08:44

that our life is not just a um um material life  but also spiritual one and from my Sagal where  

1:08:52

I'm from is a great example of that it's what  I would call the uh World capital of Sufism  

1:08:59

and uh it's a pleasure to see how this is also  nurtured and cherished as well and it's part of  

1:09:05

our things that value uh that people value that  adds to the quality of life as well we haven't  

China’s role in Africa

1:09:12

spoken yet about China and China's role in in the  continent because of course in terms of trade now  

1:09:17

I think China uh has a greater share of trade  with uh with individual African countries than  

1:09:24

yeah uh than than Europe European and American  uh companies and so uh Chinese the Chinese are  

1:09:30

very Central to the economic story of of CH of  of Africa and uh the the the the common wisdom  

1:09:40

at least that that which is which is disseminated  by by the Chinese and supporters of Chinese is  

1:09:46

that you know China does not come in to to Africa  with that exploitative um uh underbelly that many  

1:09:53

Western companies have and and China does not  require you know the thick values of liberalism  

1:09:59

and and human rights in order to do trade and and  in a sense when Chinese companies do uh access uh  

1:10:09

uh resources uh there is there is a a a a a more  delicate footprint I suppose of those companies so  

1:10:17

how do you R rate China versus you know European  and maybe even Russian and American companies in  

1:10:24

terms of it in terms of in terms of Africa yeah I  think um so it is different yeah in form but not  

1:10:32

in China is different in form but not in terms of  outcomes I think they get paid in a different way  

1:10:39

right so uh European and American companies uh  are the European countries as well get paid in  

1:10:48

the form of like their um extra um resources as  well China gets paid in terms of uh geopolitical  

1:10:58

uh geopolitical Power so many of China's uh  investment so they didn't they have done a  

1:11:06

lot of infrastructure funding they built the Adis  ABA jibuti uh Railway yeah and uh they often will  

1:11:16

have a clause that allows them to seize some asset  really like yeah like so uh Angola exchanged oil  

1:11:23

for roads Hospital uh and housing built by China  and um the they they will be able to collect some  

1:11:34

asset on the other side in case the country  doesn't repay right and also often we found  

1:11:40

there is some evidence as well in terms of voting  at the UN as well voting along the lines with CH  

1:11:46

for China uh for countries that received this uh  uh Bel um uh belter Road initiative from China  

1:11:55

so I think they get paid in a in in a different  way either in kind in some sense and so um but  

1:12:03

they give concessionary loans lower lower  uh rates for for to buy to buy for this  

1:12:09

geopolitical power in the in the global uh  scene and uh the way I think about now maybe  

1:12:16

what is the uh the attitude of what should be  the attitude of um African countries I don't see  

1:12:25

uh that African countries should try and say hey  look we are geopolitically strong uh like in the  

1:12:32

way in which the US portrays or China or Russia  but rather uh be more focused on economic outcomes  

1:12:41

understand the fragmentation of the world and  make countries pay for uh and have a geopolitical  

1:12:48

competition around them not limit themselves  to one partner and I think that's the message  

1:12:53

we keep many countries just limit themselves to  their former Colonial right Master yeah but now  

1:12:59

just say okay we are Partners we negotiate  we look at what China offers we look at what  

1:13:06

Russia offers we look at what the US offers and I  think this is important um and even uh for people  

1:13:13

who are also in Western institutions as well to  understand that uh we do things for Humanity we  

1:13:19

are not Western um um spoke people but really we  want to think of uh for African countries what is  

1:13:30

in the best interest it's not replacing a French  flag with a Russian flag but what does um they  

1:13:37

they provide conditions each of them that the US  to deal with the US you will not deal with China  

1:13:42

uh to deal with the US you will not deal with  Iran or you will not deal with Russia um they  

1:13:49

believe that certain values are strong better than  other values Africans might have different values  

1:13:55

and Africans even um within themselves might be  split on these values as well so to each of them  

1:14:02

to look at uh the competition the geopolitical  competition and not try to say okay I'm also  

1:14:08

geopolitically strong often what happens that  is that then you have a military Invasion coming  

1:14:13

your way Libya is one example yes so I think it  needs to be strategic understand the reality be  

1:14:20

realistic that yeah uh each of the countries are  not on their own military strong geopolitically  

1:14:27

strong but they can have their sovereignty not  have Colonial presence in terms of military in  

1:14:34

a military form or monetary form okay like having  a monetary uh Colonial money yes and say now okay  

1:14:43

I'm ready to trade uh with everyone I'm ready  to also geopolitically have alliances but I'm  

1:14:49

open to others as well uh and you know uh let the  competition in a fragmented world now uh that uh  

1:15:01

that you know but we often I think often sometimes  uh some countries will do the mistake of kind of  

1:15:09

forcing some sort of Al alignment either through  historical uh arguments and often these are flawed  

1:15:17

there hasn't been Africa has been in many parts  of Africa colonized being at War and suppressed in  

1:15:23

the world stage yeah so we uh we should take this  more as an opportunity to develop our economies  

1:15:29

and be pragmatic and strategic rather than just  benevolent alignments uh in your answer there you  

Islamic African values?

1:15:36

talked about values and the values of Africans  but of course yeah uh as you said you intimated  

1:15:42

Africa is a very diverse continent now at the  very beginning in my introduction I I spoke of  

1:15:47

the 400 million Muslims in in Africa so that's  40 45% of Africa are actually Muslims which is  

1:15:55

is you an astonishing figure really um uh how  important uh are the values of of Islam in the  

1:16:05

economic future and the economic story and the  economic narrative uh of of uh of Africa a large  

1:16:12

population of Africa is Muslim like you said if  you look at the map of Africa this sahal is kind  

1:16:20

of somewhat of a delimitation of what used to be  the limit to the northern north of the sah you  

1:16:27

have Islam and then now you have more and more mus  Muslim even in some parts of sou central Africa  

1:16:34

South Africa Eastern part of Africa is has large  Muslim populations and also North part yeah now  

1:16:42

the values of Islam really are present here and  are important and I think when I talked about um  

1:16:51

financing medium and small uh Enterprises the idea  is really how to think of to think of how to scale  

1:16:59

the arrangement that our Prophet Muhammad peace be  upon him had with his wife Khadija which is this  

1:17:06

uh profit and loss sharing agreements yes which  what Islamic Finance is supposed to really put in  

1:17:12

place so there is work that U some economists are  doing to address these issues I told you earlier  

1:17:21

of uh how to select projects adverse selection  yes and how to avoid the challenges with not  

1:17:29

having good information on firms and so on so I  think these issues right how to scale medium and  

1:17:35

small Enterprises can benefit a lot from what we  learned in Islam and take that as an opportunity   think of how can we have Equity arrangements and  develop them for these yes uh for these countri  

1:17:45

so that's one thing um the other elements is  that we can avoid uh using Islamic principles  

1:17:55

a lot of issues that plague uh the Western world  and I think you know even in the principles of  

1:18:02

business being Halal to avoid uh gambling that  can create problems we see that gambling has  

1:18:12

been on the rise a lot in Africa so gambling  platforms now are everywhere they there are  

1:18:19

gambling platforms connected with sports okay they  uh they create a lot of risk and they make uh some  

1:18:26

people lose all their incomes uh and it becomes  very detrimental so using these principles can  

1:18:32

avoid uh a lot of these uh issues uh we have  as well in a lot of usage of the internet is  

1:18:40

pornography we know and this is another industry  that is fr upon by our religion and I think the  

1:18:47

world is waking up also to uh the usage of alcohol  and many of the new generation will tell you that  

1:18:54

they will probably see alcohol as we used to see  smoking tobacco uh 20 years ago right right and  

1:19:03

uh the question around also finding solutions  to riba is really addressing this problem and  

1:19:10

which is a problem in Islam really also is at  the Forefront of some of the things that uh

1:19:15

um Muslim majority nations in Africa face as  well okay among other nations yeah so there  

1:19:24

are many there is many a lot of Reliance on  debt we rely on external debt yeah there have  

1:19:30

been one of the most contentious elements around  internation in international organization right  

1:19:36

now uh like the IMF and the uh discussions with  the African countries is the credit rating of  

1:19:44

African countries so there is this what we call  Global Financial cycle that when overall the  

1:19:53

you for the US economy struggles then this  will in turn make the poorer countries or  

1:20:03

and some African countries as well less likely  to be able to repay their debt yes this leads  

1:20:09

to the uh Credit Agencies the credit uh um  rating agencies uh downgrading the debt of  

1:20:20

African countries even though they might have  a good history of repayment so many of these   African countries found this unfair because this  Global Financial cycle is not their under their  

1:20:31

own responsibility but it's a reality that when  the economy overall the all World struggles they  

1:20:38

think that Africa will struggle more yeah okay so  there is this realization that African countries  

1:20:46

many especially subaran African countries cannot  keep on going with paying interests north of 8 9%  

1:20:55

and thinking of other alternative Investments  with the private and Public Partnerships based  

1:21:01

on Equity is at the Forefront as well of some of  the principles Islam um and also how to raise uh  

1:21:12

local finances so local financing we have modes  of Taxation uh Islam uh s uh recommends some sort  

1:21:21

of wealth tax uh you have diff challenges of  collecting that wealth tax uh same as income  

1:21:27

tax um like in the in the developing world or  and in Africa as well because you don't have  

1:21:33

income statements but uh where a lot of African  countries are going is strengthening property  

1:21:40

taxation right because property is often like is  a investment vehicle that you can observe it's not  

1:21:47

moving anywhere so you can tax it so you have a  lot of reforms to increase property taxation but  

1:21:54

to kind of wrap up the answer of this I think  I wanted to end though by saying that for this  

1:21:59

particular question uh Africa has a lot of has  a rich uh um history of Islam uh we have had the  

1:22:09

soot khalifat um uh we have had um a lot long  presence of uh Islam in Africa since 1200s uh  

1:22:21

we have had uh writings in aami script which was  this Arabic adapted to the local languages and in  

1:22:29

these writings uh you read uh lessons about how to  raise a family you read lessons about the prophet  

1:22:39

sallallahu alaihi wasallam you read lessons about  economic principles you read lessons about um how  

1:22:46

to manage uh the court system and so I think  building on its version of Islam its version  

1:22:57

is endogenous version of Islam and also it it  is understanding and accepting version of many  

1:23:04

of the Sufi Brotherhood that were there Africa  can benefit a lot from this lesson of Islam and  

1:23:10

I wanted to give an example so it is the mid  Brotherhood in in Sagal the midia Brotherhood  

1:23:17

which is one important economic power yeah and and  this uh Sufi Brotherhood organizes and creates a  

1:23:26

lot of public spaces uh mosques um hospitals and  they all farm together under the their she uh in  

1:23:36

the summer they go and farm and then they collect  uh in Tuba region and helcom the from the peanuts  

1:23:44

that is formed and from these they will build the  city essentially and they create trade networks  

1:23:51

as well all around the world not only in Sagal  but around the world in the US in France and  

1:23:57

everywhere they are where they unite they invest  back home as well and the they are all driven by  

1:24:03

their religion and their shared values and  that they make benefit their families and  

1:24:09

their country and their Brotherhood in general  Professor Abdullah I think that's been a really  

1:24:14

fascinating conversation today I could probably  go on for another hour and a half but I think we   have to we have to pause there so thank you so  much for your time today thank you very much for  

1:24:24

having me it's a pleasure to be here in this  studio in London and to have seen such a wonderful  

1:24:31

places and to have walked through uh places where  John mayard KES Jeremy banton's um embalmed body  

1:24:42

embalmed body lays and to be in the room where  Carl Marx has written D capital and to meet youum

1:24:54

thank youkum Salam please remember to subscribe to our  social media and YouTube channels and head  

1:25:02

over to our website thinking muslim.com  to sign up to my Weekly Newsletter

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